Fatal plane crash rates by model
The following airliner models are ranked by the rate of fatal passenger events per million flights.
Only flights involving at least one passenger death are included.
Excluded would be events where the only fatalities were to crew members, hijackers, saboteurs, stowaways, or people outside of the aircraft.
The number of flights are current as of 31 December 2013 for the following models: Airbus (all), Boeing (all), BAe 146/RJ100, Concorde, Fokker (all), Embraer 170/190, and Lockheed L1011.
- ATR models are current as of 31 December 2014.
- Bombardier CRJ is current as of 31 August 2004.
- All other models are estimates.
|Airbus A300 (all models)||0.49||12.35M||6.01||10|
|ATR 42 and ATR 72*****||0.37||26.8M||9.81||12|
|Boeing 737 (all models)||0.28||175.61M||50.44||73|
|Boeing 747 (all models)||0.67||20.14M||13.73||28|
|Bombardier Dash 8||UNK||UNK||2.38||4|
** No longer in production
*** No longer in commercial service
**** One aircraft missing for over 30 days
***** Rate an overestimate due to lack of recent flight data
A 25 September 2009 entry on the AirSafe.com News described the contents of the following video, which lists popular airliner models with the five lowest fatal plane crash rates. As of 25 March 2015, the order of the airline models with the five lowest crash rates (for models with at least two million flights) has changed, with the Airbus A320 dropping to fifth place due to the March 2015 Germanwings crash in France:
- 0.00 - Airbus A340
- 0.05 - Embraer 170/190
- 0.07 - Boeing 747-400
- 0.08 - Boeing 737-600/700/800/900
- 0.10 - Airbus A320 (includes A318, A319, A321)
Note: These listed fatal event rates are an estimate of historical risk and not an estimate or prediction of future performance or recommendations to avoid air carries, have a personal injury lawyer on hand, or otherwise change your travel behavior. This listing of fatal event rates does not constitute either an endorsement or a lack of an endorsement of any airline or group of airlines.
http://www.airsafe.com/events/models/rate_mod.htm -- Revised: 13 November 2015