Fatal plane crash rates by model

The following airliner models are ranked by the rate of fatal plane crashes per million flights. Only plane crashes involving at least one passenger death are included. The number of flights are current as of 31 December 2012 for the following models: Airbus (all), Boeing (all), BAe 146/RJ100, Concorde, Fokker (all), Embraer 170/190, and Lockheed L1011.

- ATR models are current as of 31 August 2003.
- Bombardier CRJ is current as of 31 August 2004.
- All other models are estimates.


Fatal crash rates per million flights

Model Rate Flights FLE* Events
Airbus A300** 0.61 6.52M 3.99 7
Airbus A300-600 0.34 5.83M 2.00 2
Airbus A300 (all models) 0.49 12.35M 5.99 9
Airbus A310** 1.36 4.69M 6.39 9
Airbus A320/318/319/321 0.08 69.23 5.63 9
Airbus A330 0.69 5.71M 1.99 2
Airbus A340** 0 2.74M 0 0
Airbus A380 0 UNK 0 0
ATR 42 and ATR 72 0.61 13.2M 8.07 10
Boeing 717** 0 UNK 0 0
Boeing 727** 0.50 77.05M 38.6 50
Boeing 737-100/200** 0.61 58.29M 35.44 49
Boeing 737-300/400/500** 0.15 71.15M 10.99 18
Boeing 737-600/700/800/900 0.09 46.15M 4.01 6
Boeing 737 (all models) 0.29 175.61M 50.44 73
Boeing 747-100/200/300/SP** 1.02 13.0M 13.23 26
Boeing 747-400** 0.07 7.14M 0.50 2
Boeing 747-8 0 UNK 0 0
Boeing 747 (all models) 0.68 20.14M 13.73 28
Boeing 757** 0.24 22.73M 5.4 8
Boeing 767 0.32 17.07M 5.50 6
Boeing 777**** 0.29 6.90M 2.01 3
Boeing 787 0 UNK 0 0
Boeing DC9** 0.56 62.59M 35.40 44
Boeing DC10** 0.65 9.12M 5.91 15
Boeing MD11** 0.43 2.38M 1.02 3
Boeing MD80/MD90** 0.27 43.55M 11.94 18
Bombardier Dash 8 UNK UNK 2.38 4
Canadair CRJ 0.26 8.11M 2.10 3
BAe146/RJ100** 0.42 10.70M 4.49 6
BAe Jetstream** UNK UNK 6.07 7
Concorde*** 11.36 0.09M 1.00 1
Dornier 228 UNK UNK 9.60 11
Dornier 328** UNK UNK 0.11 1
Embraer Bandeirante** 3.07 7.5M 23.00 28
Embraer Brasilia 0.71 7.4M 5.27 6
Embraer 170/190 0.11 3.85M 0.44 1
Fokker F28** 1.65 9.35M 15.45 21
Fokker 70/100** 0.18 10.28M 1.89 5
Lockheed L1011** 0.48 5.33M 2.54 5
Saab 340** 0.19 11.2M 2.10 3

** No longer in production
*** No longer in commercial service
**** Aircraft missing for over 30 days


A 25 September 2009 entry on the AirSafe.com News described the contents of the following video, which lists popular airliner models with the five lowest fatal plane crash rates. As of September 2013, the order of the airline models with the five lowest crash rates (for models with at least two million flights) has changed to the following:

  1. 0.0 - Airbus A340
  2. 0.07 - Boeing 747-400
  3. 0.08 - Airbus A320 (includes A318, A319, A321)
  4. 0.09 - Boeing 737 current generation (-600, -700, -800, -900)
  5. 0.11 - Embraer 170/190

Video and Audio Podcast Links (2:57)
Audio: MP3 | VideoiPod/MP4 | WMV | YouTube


Additional resources
Plane crashes by selected aircraft models
Crashes and crash rates of selected airlines
Details on analysis method

Note: These listed fatal event rates are an estimate of historical risk and not an estimate or prediction of future performance. This listing of fatal event rates does not constitute either an endorsement or a lack of an endorsement of any airline or group of airlines.

Fatal plane crash rates by model
http://www.airsafe.com/events/models/rate_mod.htm -- Revised: 24 August 2014